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Oz Cyclone Chasers Cyclone Blog
Computer models indicate one final burst of the monsoon is expected to hit Northern Australia mid to late this month.
A Tropical LOW looks set to form near the Top WEnd or in the Gulf Of Carpentaria towards the back end of next week. Currently we see evidence of a 30-40% chance that this LOW will reach tropical cyclone intensity, however the favoured option remains for the LOW to stay monsoonal in structure with the strongest winds located well away from the centre.
Early model predictions show that the LOW is favoured to shift eastwards across the Gulf towards Queensland's Western Peninsula