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Oz Cyclone Chasers Cyclone Blog

Welcome to our OCC Blog! We will be posting frequently on this blog so please check back for new items regularly. You can also subscribe to get notifications of new posts.
Chris was born in Northern Greece and came to Australia as a young boy. He initially lived in Sydney and in 1988 was amazed by a very intense hail storm that smashed his house. This hailstorm had torn off the roof, blown out the windows of his house and left his family in complete shock, all with almost no warning. Since that day, Chris Nitsopoulos... (Nitso) has been passionate about studying the weather and learning about what makes thunderstorms tick in order to better understand and forecast them. Upon completing his high school education in Townsville, he went on to James Cook university to begin a degree in Meteorology. Unfortunately Chris could not grasp the intricate mathematical formulas behind the physics involved in meteorology and changed degrees with a year left in his meteorology degree. He completed a degree in Secondary School education majoring in Geography and ironically enough, minoring in mathematics and physics. Nitso successfully taught Geography, Science, Mathematics and Physical Education for 5 years before dropping his full time teaching load to pursue a small business goal which could give him a lot more time off and help fund his storm chasing. In 2010, Nitso began a business selling sports shoes and supplements online. In 2013, Nitso shut down that business and now works primarily on Oz Cyclone Chasers and does a couple of days supply teaching at a couple of Catholic schools in Townsville The fact that his workload was far reduced allowed him to pursue his burning desire to chase tropical cyclones. Even though Chris never completed his Meteorology degree, his passion for studying the weather and in particular severe weather systems has never diminished. During the dry season you would normally see Chris spending much of his spare time burying his head in old meteorology books or online researching meteorological studies from around the world. Chris enjoys and learns from every storm chase regardless of its success/failure, in fact Chris believes that in storm chasing you learn more from a failed chase or a failed forecast because it drives you to learn why you got it wrong and to strive to get it right next time. Chris is a registered storm spotter with the Bureau of Meteorology, he is a trained first aid officer and a qualified gym instructor. Chris also enjoys refereeing Rugby League and Rugby Union part time in the Winter months and says that he would go crazy with boredom and weigh 200kg if he didn’t have a hobby like refereeing to keep him fit and busy in the months between April and October.  Chris is in charge of all of our subscriber services at OCC.  More

OCC NATIONAL CYCLONE VIDEO UPDATE 17 MARCH 2016

OCC NATIONAL CYCLONE VIDEO UPDATE 17 MARCH 2016
​This update is brought to you by Campbell Scientific Australia - When Measurements Matter  We look at the formation of a LOW off the coast of Cairns and its movement.  Our final video update for this system will be tomorrow afternoon at 5:00PM QLD time. If you'd like further updates after this time as the system moves away from the Queensland coast, please consider becoming an OCC Subscriber at www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/subscribe
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7684 Hits

ULTRA HIGH RESOLUTION SATELLITE IS NOW LIVE ON OCC

ULTRA HIGH RESOLUTION SATELLITE IS NOW LIVE ON OCC
As promised folks, our new OCC subscriber perk is now online for you to enjoy.  I have attached some comparisons for you to see how our satellite products compare to those freely available from the Bureau. Click on the thumbnails below to see the bigger version. Simply login and click on "Weather Centre" and select the 500m visible option from your drop down menu. If you've been on the Weather Centre earlier today, you may have to reload your page. There are plenty more enhancements to come...
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2364 Hits

ULTRA HIGH RESOLUTION SATELLITE COMING TO OCC

ULTRA HIGH RESOLUTION SATELLITE COMING TO OCC
We are very proud to announce that from this afternoon, OCC will be providing access to the highest resolution weather satellite imagery available in the world. The feature will be implemented on our OCC Weather Centre for our subscribers, you will be able to see unbelievable detail in your sat imagery, things like storm outflow boundaries, small convective cumulus clouds, seabreeze convergence cloud development, small scale convective bursts/blooms (signifying pockets of possible extr...
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2153 Hits

OCC NATIONAL CYCLONE VIDEO UPDATE MARCH 16 2016

OCC NATIONAL CYCLONE VIDEO UPDATE MARCH 16 2016
​This update is sponsored by our major sponsor Campbell Scientific Australia - When Measurements Matter  The video deals with the Gulf LOW its landfall and the development of a LOW off the NE coast of Queensland near Cairns in the next 24-48 hours. In the last couple of minutes we look at the rain expected and how quickly it clears away once the LOW off the East coast of Queensland forms.  Given the possibility of development of a new LOW off the NE coast of Queensland, we will continu...
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9997 Hits

GULF LOW NOW MAKING LANDFALL

​The LOW in the Gulf Of Carpentaria has run out of time to intensify into a Tropical Cyclone. It appears on radar that thensystem has become vertically tilted towards the east and the mid level circulation is currently making landfall about 80km North of Karumba. The LOW level circulation centre may be lagging back over water a little given some westerly wind shear due to the Upper trough to the south (you can clearly see the upper trough in the video above). But this one is done and d...
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6248 Hits

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NOW ISSUED

With the continued relatively fast eastward motion of the Gulf LOW, the Bureau have upgraded the cyclone Watch to a Cyclone Warning from Cape KeerWeer to Burketown.  The system has rapidly intensified overnight and the satellite constraints  governing its final intensity means that it remains below cyclone intensity. However as the track map shows, the system is expected to make Cat 1 before impacting the coast. The longer term future of the system is still difficult to ascertain....
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22181 Hits

THE MONSOON BEGINS TO FIRE ACROSS AUSTRALIA'S NE TROPICS

The latest state radar imagery from Weatherzone shows widespread monsoonal rain areas developing across the NE tropics of Australia. A developing Tropical LOW is located in the SE Gulf Of Carpentaria is subject to Tropical Cyclone Advices from the Bureau and a new circulation is expected to form near the NE coast of Queensland in the vicinity of Cairns in the next 24 hours. The heavy rain will continue for at least 24-48 hours and begin focussing further north on the NE coast between C...
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10449 Hits

TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH HAS BEEN DECLARED

​Given the motion of the LOW towards the NE and into open water in the past 6-12 hours, the Bureau Of Meteorology have issued a Tropical Cyclone Watch for the Western Peninsula and SE Gulf Of Carpentaria overnight. The system may intensify into a weak Tropical Cyclone before approaching the Western Peninsula/making landfall. ​
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37759 Hits

OCC NATIONAL CYCLONE VIDEO UPDATE MARCH 15 2016

OCC NATIONAL CYCLONE VIDEO UPDATE MARCH 15 2016
This update is brought to you by our major sponsor Campbell Scientific Australia - When Measurements Matter  We look at a Tropical LOW that will impact Queensland's Gulf coast and Western Peninsula along with some heavy rain that is likely to occur on the NE coast of Queensland between Townsville and Cooktown.  Our next public video update will be issued around 9:00PM QLD time tomorrow night (16th March) with our next subscriber update at about 10:00AM tomorrow morning (16th March) To ...
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19229 Hits

MODELS PREDICT WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN QUEENSLAND NEXT WEEK

​A monsoon will develop next week and a LOW will form along it in the Gulf Of Carpentaria and it will likely move to the east. Some models also predict the possibility of a secondary circulation near the North Queensland coastline.  Shown above are the early estimates from the OCF for rain amounts. These rain amounts are primarily occurring from the 15th March  Individual models are predicting isolated pockets of 300-500mm/day across the North coast with general falls of 50+mm/day...
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18870 Hits

MONSOON LOW IN THE GULF NOW LIKELY AND MOVEMENT INTO QUEENSLAND POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK

​As we mentioned yesterday, the monsoon is arriving early next week and with it a Tropical LOW is expected to form. It is becoming increasingly likely that this LOW will form in the Gulf Of carpentaria and then track SE or ESE into Queensland. The LOW is expected to bring heavy falls to the Gulf, Western Peninsula and the NE Coast of Queensland.  The Euro and GFS modelling is quite interesting with both computer models showing two possible LOWS in similar locations. One in the Gulf and one ...
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24701 Hits

Great rain for Townsville but it's not filling the dam :(

Once again we've seen some awesome rain for Townsville but that rain hasn't extended west far enough to flow into the Ross River Dam.  Shown below is the updated rainfall observations chart until 6AM this morning (March 10) for the previous 20 hour period.  While it's so great to see the rain around a city which has just gotten through its driest year in history, the rain is a very short term quick fix solution and its benefits will be forgotten in less than a week from now becaus...
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5226 Hits

LOW TO FORM ON A DEVELOPING MONSOON TROUGH NEXT WEEK

A weak monsoon trough is set to form across far Northern Australia early next week. Computer models indicate that a Tropical LOW will form along that trough line. The favoured location for the initial formation of that LOW appear to be at the base of the Top End of the NT, the LOW should then push east towards the Gulf Of Carpentaria/Queensland and slowly deepen.  Above is the Euro Ensemble showing the favoured area of that LOW's position next Friday morning. However you can also see a...
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24942 Hits

OCC Tuesday Subscriber Updates - Completed

Subscribers, your video updates for Tuesday have been completed and are now available on your state pages and on the "Future Aussie Cyclones" page QUEENSLAND UPDATE Widespread showers continuing along the coast, but clearing slowly northwards as the week progresses and into the weekend.  A Monsoon develops next week and dumps big falls  find out where  A LOW could form in 2 areas near Queensland next week - find out where.  Another LOW may track westwards from New Caledonia t...
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1349 Hits

Final Monsoonal burst of 2016

Computer models indicate one final burst of the monsoon is expected to hit Northern Australia mid to late this month.

A Tropical LOW looks set to form near the Top WEnd or in the Gulf Of Carpentaria towards the back end of next week. Currently we see evidence of a 30-40% chance that this LOW will reach tropical cyclone intensity, however the favoured option remains for the LOW to stay monsoonal in structure with the strongest winds located well away from the centre.

Early model predictions show that the LOW is favoured to shift eastwards across the Gulf towards Queensland's Western Peninsula

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2128 Hits